Tuesday, October 26, 2004
The Polls
I think most polls suggest that Bush will win the election. My prediction was that he would win by 8 points, but the polls suggest more like a 5 point gap. It'll take a major change of opinion over the next few days for Kerry to win. There are suggestions that Ohio may turn out to be the Florida of 2004. It is so close that both candidates have a chance and if it comes down to a few hundred vote difference, expect both parties to park their brigade of lawyers in that state for a month or two and fight a long and testing legal battle. I won't be surprised if there are a couple of other states that will also be close that will invite legal challenges. All in all an interesting next few days.
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